BUF
7–2
VGK
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 29-28-4
7–2
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 33-21-7
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
19213413735
VGK
092807224
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
BUF 29-28-4 · VGK 33-21-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
Sabres beat the Golden Knights
The Sabres earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Logan Thompson allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 35 and 24 shots on goal.
BUF 3.2 xG · 35 shots
VGK 2.3 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 01:55 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 00:54 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
· 2nd 01:46 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
William Karlsson · 2nd 04:28 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 14:46 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 02:20 · 4–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
7
Owen Power · 3rd 06:26 · 5–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 12:18 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 17:12 · 7–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 64.
BUF 64%VGK 36%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 01:55 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 00:54 · SH · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
· 2nd 01:46 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
William Karlsson · 2nd 04:28 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 14:46 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 02:20 · 4–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
7
Owen Power · 3rd 06:26 · 5–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 12:18 · PP · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 17:12 · SH · 7–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/35 saves · 7 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
