BUF
2–5
WPG
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 29-29-4
2–5
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 39-16-5
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
161607219
WPG
11308414535
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
BUF 29-29-4 · WPG 39-16-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
Sabres fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.6 expected goals); the Sabres lost 2–5. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 19 and 35 shots on goal.
BUF 2.3 xG · 19 shots
WPG 2.6 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 17:33 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nino Niederreiter · 1st 19:54 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Eric Robinson · 2nd 09:20 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Josh Morrissey · 3rd 10:38 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
5
Morgan Barron · 3rd 13:55 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 18:39 · 2–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
7
Sean Monahan · 3rd 19:06 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 46.
BUF 46%WPG 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 17:33 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nino Niederreiter · 1st 19:54 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Eric Robinson · 2nd 09:20 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Josh Morrissey · 3rd 10:38 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
5
Morgan Barron · 3rd 13:55 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 18:39 · EN · 2–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
7
Sean Monahan · 3rd 19:06 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
