BUF
5–2
NJD
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 35-34-5
5–2
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 36-34-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
08211317536
NJD
21101207230
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
BUF 35-34-5 · NJD 36-34-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
Sabres beat the Devils
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Sabres erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Thompson's equalizer — and won 5–2. Devon Levi stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 30 and 36 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 36 shots
NJD 3.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Max Willman · 1st 03:00 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jesper Bratt · 1st 10:31 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 00:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 17:29 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 15:26 · 3–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
6
JJ Peterka · 3rd 19:22 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 19:54 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 40.
BUF 40%NJD 60%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Max Willman · 1st 03:00 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jesper Bratt · 1st 10:31 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 00:28 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 17:29 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 15:26 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
6
JJ Peterka · 3rd 19:22 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 19:54 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
