BUF
0–3
TOR
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 35-35-5
0–3
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 42-22-9
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01008016034
TOR
181618322
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
BUF 35-35-5 · TOR 42-22-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Sabres fell to the Maple Leafs
The Sabres created the better chances (3.0 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost 0–3. Ilya Samsonov stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 34 and 22 shots on goal.
BUF 3.0 xG · 34 shots
TOR 2.4 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
1.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 04:58 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nick Robertson · 2nd 02:34 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Auston Matthews · 3rd 14:23 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 61.
BUF 61%TOR 39%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 04:58 · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nick Robertson · 2nd 02:34 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Auston Matthews · 3rd 14:23 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/34 saves · 0 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
