Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 36-35-5
6–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 36-28-10
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
213112310635
WSH
1418014226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 36-35-5 · WSH 36-28-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres beat the Capitals
The Sabres earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.5, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Charlie Lindgren allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 35 and 26 shots on goal.
BUF 3.4 xG · 35 shots
WSH 2.5 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
1.6 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Fehérváry · 1st 02:46 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 15:42 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
JJ Peterka · 1st 16:50 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 10:54 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Dylan Strome · 2nd 19:14 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 03:03 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 04:48 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:33 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 63.
BUF 63%WSH 37%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Fehérváry · 1st 02:46 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 15:42 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
JJ Peterka · 1st 16:50 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 10:54 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Dylan Strome · 2nd 19:14 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 03:03 · PP · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 04:48 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:33 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
1
Michael Sgarbossa, Hendrix Lapierre · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
5
John Carlson, Alex Ovechkin · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/31 saves · 6 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.