BUF
1–4
NJD
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 0-1-0
1–4
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 1-0-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
07011113131
NJD
2111814423
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 0-1-0 · NJD 1-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Devils
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.2 expected goals); the Sabres lost 1–4. Jacob Markstrom stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.2, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
BUF 2.7 xG · 31 shots
NJD 2.2 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 08:39 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Johnathan Kovacevic · 1st 15:38 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nico Hischier · 2nd 03:29 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Owen Power · 3rd 10:07 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Paul Cotter · 3rd 17:28 · 1–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 58.
BUF 58%NJD 42%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 08:39 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Johnathan Kovacevic · 1st 15:38 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nico Hischier · 2nd 03:29 · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Owen Power · 3rd 10:07 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Paul Cotter · 3rd 17:28 · EN · 1–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Jonas Siegenthaler, Dawson Mercer · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
3
Nathan Bastian, Paul Cotter · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
