BUF
5–3
DET
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 4-4-1
5–3
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 4-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
21621716539
DET
1921204325
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 4-4-1 · DET 4-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Red Wings
The Sabres earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, and a 5–3 win to show for it. Alex Lyon allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 39 and 25 shots on goal.
BUF 2.8 xG · 39 shots
DET 2.1 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 04:04 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 12:00 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 14:43 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 03:20 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 03:51 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 11:02 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Bowen Byram · 2nd 15:54 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Jack Quinn · 3rd 19:12 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 63.
BUF 63%DET 37%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 04:04 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 12:00 · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 14:43 · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 03:20 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 03:51 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 11:02 · SH · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Bowen Byram · 2nd 15:54 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Jack Quinn · 3rd 19:12 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
6
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
