BUF
2–5
FLA
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 4-5-1
2–5
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 7-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
0821208228
FLA
26111214531
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 4-5-1 · FLA 7-3-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Panthers
The Sabres were outchanced (2.8 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 31 and 28 shots on goal.
BUF 1.8 xG · 28 shots
FLA 2.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.2 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesper Boqvist · 1st 11:01 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 1st 11:56 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 10:45 · 1–2 · bat shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 12:37 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 16:44 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
6
Sam Bennett · 3rd 14:35 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 15:43 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 33.
BUF 33%FLA 67%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesper Boqvist · 1st 11:01 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 1st 11:56 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 10:45 · PP · 1–2
Bat shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 12:37 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 16:44 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
6
Sam Bennett · 3rd 14:35 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 15:43 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
