BUF
3–4
NYI
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 4-6-1
3–4
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 4-5-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
112010213335
NYI
110215111436
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 4-6-1 · NYI 4-5-2 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Islanders
The Sabres created the better chances (3.7 to 3.1 expected goals) — and lost 3–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 35 and 36 shots on goal.
BUF 3.7 xG · 35 shots
NYI 3.1 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 1.4
3rd
1.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 09:03 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 09:43 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Maxim Tsyplakov · 2nd 05:25 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 12:20 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Jason Zucker · 3rd 05:27 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 08:08 · 2–4 · poke shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Owen Power · 3rd 18:59 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 59.
BUF 59%NYI 41%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 09:03 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 09:43 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Maxim Tsyplakov · 2nd 05:25 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Kyle Palmieri · 2nd 12:20 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Jason Zucker · 3rd 05:27 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 3rd 08:08 · GWG · 2–4
Poke shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Owen Power · 3rd 18:59 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
