BUF
5–1
OTT
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 5-7-1
5–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 6-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
110113311534
OTT
013112013138
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 5-7-1 · OTT 6-6-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Senators
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.2 expected goals); the Sabres won 5–1. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.2, on 34 and 38 shots on goal.
BUF 3.5 xG · 34 shots
OTT 3.2 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 1.8
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 06:37 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Bowen Byram · 2nd 00:17 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Ridly Greig · 2nd 07:31 · 2–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (61%)
4
Bowen Byram · 3rd 00:21 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 00:37 · 4–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (57%)
6
JJ Peterka · 3rd 12:08 · 5–1 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 54.
BUF 54%OTT 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 06:37 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Bowen Byram · 2nd 00:17 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Ridly Greig · 2nd 07:31 · 2–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (61%)
4
Bowen Byram · 3rd 00:21 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 00:37 · 4–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (57%)
6
JJ Peterka · 3rd 12:08 · PP · 5–1
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
