BUF
3–2
CGY
Final / SO · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-7-1
3–2
Final / SOW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 7-5-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF
270604021319
CGY
0615112030226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 7-7-1 · CGY 7-5-3 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Flames
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.2 expected goals); the Sabres won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 19 and 26 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 19 shots
CGY 2.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.1
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
0.2 · 0.8
OT
0.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zach Benson · 1st 01:11 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 13:37 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Matt Coronato · 2nd 17:44 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 15:42 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 54.
BUF 54%CGY 46%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zach Benson · 1st 01:11 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 13:37 · PP · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Matt Coronato · 2nd 17:44 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 15:42 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
4
Jonathan Huberdeau, Andrei Kuzmenko · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–2
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Sabres
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
