BUF
5–7
MTL
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-8-1
5–7
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 5-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
162527518
MTL
1831035723
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 7-8-1 · MTL 5-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Canadiens
The Sabres were outchanced (2.9 to 1.7 expected goals) and lost 5–7. Cayden Primeau allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.7, on 23 and 18 shots on goal.
BUF 1.7 xG · 18 shots
MTL 2.9 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.5 · 1.2
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Anderson · 1st 04:14 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 04:42 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Cole Caufield · 2nd 05:26 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 05:45 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 06:44 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 19:13 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 19:35 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 01:58 · 4–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
JJ Peterka · 3rd 03:51 · 5–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
10
Emil Heineman · 3rd 10:50 · 5–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
11
Cole Caufield · 3rd 12:58 · 5–6 · wrist shot, a great chance (35%)
12
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 19:11 · 5–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 29.
BUF 29%MTL 71%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Anderson · 1st 04:14 · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 04:42 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Cole Caufield · 2nd 05:26 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 05:45 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 06:44 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 19:13 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 19:35 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 01:58 · PP · 4–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
JJ Peterka · 3rd 03:51 · 5–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
10
Emil Heineman · 3rd 10:50 · 5–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
11
Cole Caufield · 3rd 12:58 · PP · GWG · 5–6
Wrist shot, a great chance (35%)
12
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 19:11 · EN · 5–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
2/4 saves · 2 GA · 1.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
