BUF
4–3
STL
Final / OT · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 8-8-1
4–3
Final / OTW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 7-9-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
2160101611433
STL
182110800327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 8-8-1 · STL 7-9-1 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.1 to 1.9 expected goals); the Sabres won it in overtime on Dahlin's goal. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 1.9, on 33 and 27 shots on goal.
BUF 2.1 xG · 33 shots
STL 1.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
0.3 · 1.0
3rd
0.3 · 0.5
OT
0.6 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 03:11 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Zach Benson · 1st 12:47 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Ryan McLeod · 1st 16:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 05:25 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Saad · 2nd 17:15 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 12:57 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Rasmus Dahlin · OT 01:33 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 54.
BUF 54%STL 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 03:11 · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Zach Benson · 1st 12:47 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Ryan McLeod · 1st 16:49 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 05:25 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Saad · 2nd 17:15 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 12:57 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Rasmus Dahlin · OT 01:33 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
