BUF
2–5
UTA
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-13-3
2–5
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 11-11-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
1705113225
UTA
01031325528
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 11-13-3 · UTA 11-11-4 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Mammoth
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.9 expected goals); the Sabres lost 2–5. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 25 and 28 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 25 shots
UTA 2.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.2
3rd
1.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyson Kozak · 1st 10:14 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Michael Kesselring · 2nd 03:18 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 03:42 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 19:08 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jack McBain · 3rd 02:11 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 12:07 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jiri Kulich · 3rd 17:40 · 2–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 43.
BUF 43%UTA 57%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Mammoth shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyson Kozak · 1st 10:14 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Michael Kesselring · 2nd 03:18 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 03:42 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 19:08 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jack McBain · 3rd 02:11 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 12:07 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jiri Kulich · 3rd 17:40 · 2–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Alexander Kerfoot, Michael Carcone · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1–2
4
Michael Kesselring, Clayton Keller · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
