BUF
6–2
CHI
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 13-19-4
6–2
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 12-22-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
411011213635
CHI
021817217
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
BUF 13-19-4 · CHI 12-22-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
Sabres beat the Blackhawks
The Sabres earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 1.8, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Petr Mrazek allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.8, on 35 and 17 shots on goal.
BUF 3.7 xG · 35 shots
CHI 1.8 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zach Benson · 1st 09:51 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Alex Tuch · 1st 12:23 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jack Quinn · 1st 12:38 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Cozens · 1st 19:18 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 16:39 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Seth Jones · 3rd 03:06 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:48 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Alex Tuch · 3rd 15:06 · 6–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 79.
BUF 79%CHI 21%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zach Benson · 1st 09:51 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Alex Tuch · 1st 12:23 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jack Quinn · 1st 12:38 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Cozens · 1st 19:18 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 16:39 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Seth Jones · 3rd 03:06 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:48 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Alex Tuch · 3rd 15:06 · 6–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
