Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 15-21-5
4–3
Final / SOW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 26-10-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF
192904051427
WSH
1619110030328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 15-21-5 · WSH 26-10-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres beat the Capitals
The Sabres earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, and they won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
BUF 3.4 xG · 27 shots
WSH 2.4 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
OT
0.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 04:42 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Tom Wilson · 1st 06:10 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 01:07 · 2–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (10%)
4
Tom Wilson · 2nd 11:29 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Tage Thompson · 2nd 12:49 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 15:47 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 66.
BUF 66%WSH 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 04:42 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Tom Wilson · 1st 06:10 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 01:07 · 2–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (10%)
4
Tom Wilson · 2nd 11:29 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Tage Thompson · 2nd 12:49 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 15:47 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Sabres
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.