BUF
2–5
PIT
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 17-23-5
2–5
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 19-20-8
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
110013119242
PIT
0631023519
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
BUF 17-23-5 · PIT 19-20-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
Sabres fell to the Penguins
The Sabres created the better chances (3.8 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 42 and 19 shots on goal.
BUF 3.8 xG · 42 shots
PIT 1.8 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd
1.3 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Owen Power · 1st 15:16 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 01:41 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 02:08 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Cody Glass · 2nd 11:43 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Bryan Rust · 3rd 01:09 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Zach Benson · 3rd 14:46 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Alex Nedeljkovic · 3rd 17:18 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 80.
BUF 80%PIT 20%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Owen Power · 1st 15:16 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 01:41 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 02:08 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Cody Glass · 2nd 11:43 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Bryan Rust · 3rd 01:09 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Zach Benson · 3rd 14:46 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Alex Nedeljkovic · 3rd 17:18 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
40/42 saves · 2 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
