BUF
7–2
BOS
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 19-26-5
7–2
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 25-21-6
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
11029414733
BOS
1501319227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 19-26-5 · BOS 25-21-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres beat the Bruins
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.8 expected goals); the Sabres won 7–2. Jeremy Swayman allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 33 and 27 shots on goal.
BUF 2.6 xG · 33 shots
BOS 2.8 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.5
3rd
1.2 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason Lohrei · 1st 12:44 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 13:39 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 04:43 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 06:32 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 03:13 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Brad Marchand · 3rd 10:13 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
JJ Peterka · 3rd 10:43 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
JJ Peterka · 3rd 14:26 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Zach Benson · 3rd 19:47 · 7–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 47.
BUF 47%BOS 53%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason Lohrei · 1st 12:44 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 13:39 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 04:43 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 06:32 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 03:13 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Brad Marchand · 3rd 10:13 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
JJ Peterka · 3rd 10:43 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
JJ Peterka · 3rd 14:26 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Zach Benson · 3rd 19:47 · PP · 7–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/32 saves · 6 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
