BUF
4–3
NJD
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 21-26-5
4–3
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 29-19-6
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
31211507434
NJD
081927324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
BUF 21-26-5 · NJD 29-19-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
Sabres beat the Devils
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.2 expected goals); the Sabres won 4–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.2, on 34 and 24 shots on goal.
BUF 3.6 xG · 34 shots
NJD 3.2 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.0
2nd
2.1 · 1.7
3rd
0.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 08:11 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 15:50 · 2–0 · poke shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Ryan McLeod · 1st 19:31 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Paul Cotter · 2nd 04:38 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
5
Jason Zucker · 2nd 17:25 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Paul Cotter · 3rd 00:18 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Jack Hughes · 3rd 05:32 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 56.
BUF 56%NJD 44%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 08:11 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 15:50 · 2–0
Poke shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Ryan McLeod · 1st 19:31 · SH · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Paul Cotter · 2nd 04:38 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
5
Jason Zucker · 2nd 17:25 · GWG · 4–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Paul Cotter · 3rd 00:18 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Jack Hughes · 3rd 05:32 · SH · 4–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
