BUF
3–2
CBJ
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 22-26-5
3–2
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 26-21-7
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
1621401321
CBJ
0121918229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 22-26-5 · CBJ 26-21-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres beat the Blue Jackets
Chances were even (2.1 to 1.7 expected goals); the Sabres won 3–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 1.7, on 21 and 29 shots on goal.
BUF 2.1 xG · 21 shots
CBJ 1.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
3rd
0.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bowen Byram · 1st 10:07 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Kent Johnson · 2nd 01:47 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 12:17 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 18:56 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Ivan Provorov · 3rd 12:38 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 58.
BUF 58%CBJ 42%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Blue Jackets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bowen Byram · 1st 10:07 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Kent Johnson · 2nd 01:47 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 12:17 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 18:56 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Ivan Provorov · 3rd 12:38 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
2
James van Riemsdyk, Ivan Provorov · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
