Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 23-27-5
8–2
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 27-25-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
51601037833
NYR
08210010228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–1
BUF 23-27-5 · NYR 27-25-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–1
Sabres beat the Rangers
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.6 expected goals); the Sabres won 8–2. Igor Shesterkin allowed 4.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 28 shots on goal.
BUF 2.7 xG · 33 shots
NYR 2.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
1.3 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Quinn · 1st 01:46 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 11:58 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 15:32 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (40%)
4
Ryan McLeod · 1st 17:33 · 4–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 18:21 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Chris Kreider · 2nd 05:29 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 11:25 · 5–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
8
Tage Thompson · 3rd 03:47 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 05:40 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
10
Henri Jokiharju · 3rd 19:24 · 8–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 51.
BUF 51%NYR 49%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Quinn · 1st 01:46 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 11:58 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 15:32 · GWG · 3–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (40%)
4
Ryan McLeod · 1st 17:33 · 4–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 18:21 · PP · 5–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Chris Kreider · 2nd 05:29 · PP · 5–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 11:25 · 5–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
8
Tage Thompson · 3rd 03:47 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 05:40 · 7–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
10
Henri Jokiharju · 3rd 19:24 · 8–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.