BUF
3–2
ANA
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 24-27-5
3–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 25-25-7
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01107319337
ANA
151706218
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
BUF 24-27-5 · ANA 25-25-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
Sabres beat the Ducks
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Sabres erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Tuch's equalizer — and won 3–2. Lukas Dostal stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.8, on 37 and 18 shots on goal.
BUF 4.1 xG · 37 shots
ANA 2.8 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 1.4
2nd
0.4 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason McTavish · 1st 03:05 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 04:58 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (25%)
3
JJ Peterka · 3rd 01:56 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:34 · 2–2 · tip in shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Henri Jokiharju · 3rd 09:31 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 68.
BUF 68%ANA 32%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason McTavish · 1st 03:05 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 04:58 · PP · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (25%)
3
JJ Peterka · 3rd 01:56 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:34 · 2–2
Tip in shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Henri Jokiharju · 3rd 09:31 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
