Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 25-32-6
3–2
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 37-23-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
181718323
EDM
011211012234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 25-32-6 · EDM 37-23-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres beat the Oilers
The Sabres were outchanced (2.8 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 34 and 23 shots on goal.
BUF 2.2 xG · 23 shots
EDM 2.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 13:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
2
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 01:35 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 03:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 09:12 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 03:20 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 40.
BUF 40%EDM 60%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 13:28 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
2
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 01:35 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 03:52 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 09:12 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 03:20 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.