BUF
1–3
COL
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 0-3-0
1–3
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 3-0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
11301104128
COL
110212015337
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 0-3-0 · COL 3-0-1 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Avalanche
The Sabres were outchanced (3.1 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 1–3. Scott Wedgewood stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 37 and 28 shots on goal.
BUF 2.0 xG · 28 shots
COL 3.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:14 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 16:32 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 04:32 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 11:59 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 32.
BUF 32%COL 68%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 9 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:14 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 16:32 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 04:32 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 11:59 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:38
Jack Drury· Tripping
Jack Drury· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
08:56
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:42
Rasmus Dahlin· Interference
Rasmus Dahlin· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:15
Cale Makar· Slashing
Cale Makar· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:54
Alex Tuch· Tripping
Alex Tuch· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:38
Brent Burns· Tripping
Brent Burns· Tripping
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:38
Alex Tuch· Embellishment
Alex Tuch· Embellishment
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:08
Rasmus Dahlin· Interference
Rasmus Dahlin· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:12
Conor Timmins· Delaying game puck over glass
Conor Timmins· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Sabres went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 4 Avalanche power plays.