BUF
4–2
DET
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 3-4-0
4–2
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 5-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01121327431
DET
05211015231
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 3-4-0 · DET 5-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.2 expected goals); the Sabres won 4–2. Colten Ellis stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.2, on 31 and 31 shots on goal.
BUF 3.6 xG · 31 shots
DET 3.2 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.3
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
J.T. Compher · 2nd 03:00 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Jason Zucker · 2nd 11:37 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Tyson Kozak · 2nd 16:28 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Emmitt Finnie · 2nd 18:20 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Jack Quinn · 3rd 04:15 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 08:10 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 55.
BUF 55%DET 45%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 7 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
J.T. Compher · 2nd 03:00 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Jason Zucker · 2nd 11:37 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Tyson Kozak · 2nd 16:28 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Emmitt Finnie · 2nd 18:20 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Jack Quinn · 3rd 04:15 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 08:10 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:35
Simon Edvinsson· Tripping
Simon Edvinsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:04
James van Riemsdyk· Hooking
James van Riemsdyk· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:41
Zach Benson· Slashing
Zach Benson· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:33
Dylan Larkin· High-sticking
Dylan Larkin· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:22
Michael Rasmussen· Tripping
Michael Rasmussen· Tripping
Quinn scored on this power play
Minor
5
Ryan McLeod, Bowen Byram · Power play (Rasmussen, tripping) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:17
Moritz Seider· Interference
Moritz Seider· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:49
Jiri Kulich· Holding
Jiri Kulich· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Sabres went 1-for-5 on the power play and killed all 2 Red Wings power plays.