Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 5-4-4
1–2
Final / OTL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 9-4-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
09051301118
UTA
0701511211235
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 5-4-4 · UTA 9-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Mammoth
The Sabres were outchanced (3.7 to 1.6 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Keller's goal. Alex Lyon stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.6, on 35 and 18 shots on goal.
BUF 1.6 xG · 18 shots
UTA 3.7 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.7
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
OT
0.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 03:58 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Noah Ostlund · 3rd 07:50 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Clayton Keller · OT 00:47 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 18.
BUF 18%UTA 82%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Schmaltz · 3rd 03:58 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Noah Ostlund · 3rd 07:50 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Clayton Keller · OT 00:47 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/18 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.