Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 5-5-4
0–3
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 5-8-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
0709012028
STL
141815317
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 5-5-4 · STL 5-8-2 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Blues
The Sabres created the better chances (2.8 to 1.3 expected goals) — and lost 0–3. Joel Hofer stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.3, on 28 and 17 shots on goal.
BUF 2.8 xG · 28 shots
STL 1.3 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.5 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 12:38 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Nick Bjugstad · 2nd 02:42 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Justin Faulk · 3rd 18:58 · 0–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 75.
BUF 75%STL 25%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 12:38 · SH · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Nick Bjugstad · 2nd 02:42 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Justin Faulk · 3rd 18:58 · EN · 0–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
06:32
Josh Dunne· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
06:32
Tyler Tucker· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:17
Cam Fowler· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:38
Alex Tuch· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:52
Jimmy Snuggerud· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:04
Alexandre Texier· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:43
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
14/16 saves · 2 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/28 saves · 0 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Sabres went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Blues power plays.