BUF
5–1
EDM
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-8-4
5–1
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 9-8-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
1621329528
EDM
07110016133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 7-8-4 · EDM 9-8-4 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Oilers
The Sabres earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.2, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Colten Ellis stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.2, on 28 and 33 shots on goal.
BUF 3.2 xG · 28 shots
EDM 2.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
1.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Ostlund · 1st 19:03 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 04:29 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Bowen Byram · 2nd 08:41 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Beck Malenstyn · 2nd 09:43 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Noah Ostlund · 3rd 07:55 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Tage Thompson · 3rd 17:37 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 66.
BUF 66%EDM 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 5 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Ostlund · 1st 19:03 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 04:29 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Bowen Byram · 2nd 08:41 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Beck Malenstyn · 2nd 09:43 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Noah Ostlund · 3rd 07:55 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Tage Thompson · 3rd 17:37 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:58
Mattias Ekholm· High-sticking
Mattias Ekholm· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:50
Josh Doan· Interference
Josh Doan· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:36
Connor McDavid· High-sticking
Connor McDavid· High-sticking
Ostlund scored on this power play
Minor
1
Isak Rosen, Rasmus Dahlin · Power play (McDavid, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1–0
2nd period
4
Rasmus Dahlin, Mattias Samuelsson · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–1
PEN
5 min
Major
20:00
Vasily Podkolzin· Fighting
Vasily Podkolzin· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
20:00
Peyton Krebs· Fighting
Peyton Krebs· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
3rd period
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Oilers power play.