BUF
9–3
CHI
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 8-9-4
9–3
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 10-7-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
3153937931
CHI
1617110323
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 8-9-4 · CHI 10-7-4 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Blackhawks
The Sabres earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 1.5, and a 9–3 win to show for it. Arvid Soderblom allowed 6.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.5, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
BUF 3.0 xG · 31 shots
CHI 1.5 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 0.5
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Doan · 1st 13:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Jason Zucker · 1st 15:19 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Bowen Byram · 1st 17:33 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 18:12 · 3–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 05:42 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 05:50 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Alex Vlasic · 2nd 14:45 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Josh Doan · 2nd 17:31 · 6–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
9
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 00:24 · 6–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Tage Thompson · 3rd 01:56 · 7–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
11
Jack Quinn · 3rd 07:07 · 8–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
12
Jacob Bryson · 3rd 16:22 · 9–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 76.
BUF 76%CHI 24%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 4 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Doan · 1st 13:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Jason Zucker · 1st 15:19 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Bowen Byram · 1st 17:33 · PP · 3–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 18:12 · 3–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 05:42 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 05:50 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Alex Vlasic · 2nd 14:45 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Josh Doan · 2nd 17:31 · 6–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
9
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 00:24 · PP · 6–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Tage Thompson · 3rd 01:56 · 7–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
11
Jack Quinn · 3rd 07:07 · 8–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
12
Jacob Bryson · 3rd 16:22 · 9–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:09
Connor Bedard· Tripping
Connor Bedard· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:09
Jason Zucker· Slashing
Jason Zucker· Slashing
Killed
Minor
1
Tage Thompson, Alex Tuch · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:40
Artyom Levshunov· High-sticking
Artyom Levshunov· High-sticking
Byram scored on this power play
Minor
3
Alex Tuch, Ryan McLeod · Power play (Levshunov, high-sticking) · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:05
Josh Doan· Slashing
Josh Doan· Slashing
Bertuzzi scored on this power play
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/31 saves · 9 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 6.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Blackhawks power plays.