BUF
5–1
WPG
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-11-4
5–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 13-12-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
31417110531
WPG
0816010124
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 11-11-4 · WPG 13-12-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Jets
The Sabres earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 1.8, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Eric Comrie allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 31 and 24 shots on goal.
BUF 3.2 xG · 31 shots
WPG 1.8 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 02:46 · 1–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (74%)
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 03:01 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Josh Norris · 1st 14:54 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 11:26 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 12:49 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Josh Norris · 3rd 00:41 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 73.
BUF 73%WPG 27%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 8 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 02:46 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (74%)
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 03:01 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Josh Norris · 1st 14:54 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 11:26 · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 12:49 · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Josh Norris · 3rd 00:41 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:31
Dylan DeMelo· Holding
Dylan DeMelo· Holding
Zucker scored on this power play
Minor
1
Josh Doan, Josh Norris · Power play (DeMelo, holding) · tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (74%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:50
Rasmus Dahlin· Interference
Rasmus Dahlin· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
5
4–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:51
Logan Stanley· Elbowing
Logan Stanley· Elbowing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:52
Jason Zucker· Delaying game puck over glass
Jason Zucker· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:01
Logan Stanley· Roughing
Logan Stanley· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
14:01
Beck Malenstyn· Misconduct
Beck Malenstyn· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
14:01
Vladislav Namestnikov· Misconduct
Vladislav Namestnikov· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
14:01
Logan Stanley· Misconduct
Logan Stanley· Misconduct
Misconduct
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Sabres went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Jets power plays.