BUF
4–1
BOS
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 19-14-4
4–1
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 20-18-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01331318434
BOS
1903011123
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
BUF 19-14-4 · BOS 20-18-1 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
Sabres beat the Bruins
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.2 expected goals); the Sabres won 4–1. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 34 and 23 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 34 shots
BOS 2.2 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.4
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 11:56 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 01:39 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 03:12 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 07:54 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Josh Norris · 3rd 19:46 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 52.
BUF 52%BOS 48%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 3 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 11:56 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 01:39 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 03:12 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 07:54 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Josh Norris · 3rd 19:46 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
18:27
Viktor Arvidsson· High-sticking
Viktor Arvidsson· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:01
Sean Kuraly· Hooking
Sean Kuraly· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:40
Michael Kesselring· Holding
Michael Kesselring· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Bruins power play.