BUF
5–3
VAN
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 22-15-4
5–3
FinalW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 16-21-5
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
291724520
VAN
01508314337
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
BUF 22-15-4 · VAN 16-21-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
Sabres beat the Canucks
The Sabres were outchanced (4.3 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Thatcher Demko allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canucks created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 37 and 20 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 20 shots
VAN 4.3 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.8
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 02:01 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Ryan McLeod · 1st 11:24 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 09:37 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Zach Metsa · 3rd 06:13 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 10:17 · 4–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
6
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 15:16 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Liam Ohgren · 3rd 15:55 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Josh Doan · 3rd 18:36 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 23.
BUF 23%VAN 77%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 4 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 02:01 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Ryan McLeod · 1st 11:24 · SH · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 09:37 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Zach Metsa · 3rd 06:13 · GWG · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 10:17 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
6
Elias Pettersson · 3rd 15:16 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Liam Ohgren · 3rd 15:55 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Josh Doan · 3rd 18:36 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:21
Josh Norris· Hooking
Josh Norris· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:49
Bowen Byram· Interference
Bowen Byram· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:09
Tom Willander· Hooking
Tom Willander· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
08:26
Tage Thompson· High-sticking
Tage Thompson· High-sticking
DeBrusk scored on this power play
Double minor
5
Kiefer Sherwood, Brock Boeser · Power play (Thompson, high-sticking) · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
4–1
7
Marcus Pettersson, Linus Karlsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4–3
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Canucks power plays.