BUF
3–4
FLA
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 24-16-4
3–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 24-18-3
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
1711016323
FLA
21109212432
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 24-16-4 · FLA 24-18-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.4 expected goals); the Sabres lost 3–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 23 and 32 shots on goal.
BUF 2.7 xG · 23 shots
FLA 2.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
3rd
0.8 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 02:35 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jacob Bryson · 1st 10:19 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
A.J. Greer · 1st 15:11 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Zach Benson · 2nd 17:57 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (58%)
5
Anton Lundell · 3rd 11:07 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
6
A.J. Greer · 3rd 18:46 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Alex Tuch · 3rd 19:46 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 56.
BUF 56%FLA 44%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 5 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 02:35 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jacob Bryson · 1st 10:19 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
A.J. Greer · 1st 15:11 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Zach Benson · 2nd 17:57 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (58%)
5
Anton Lundell · 3rd 11:07 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
6
A.J. Greer · 3rd 18:46 · EN · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Alex Tuch · 3rd 19:46 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:16
Josh Doan· Interference
Josh Doan· Interference
Reinhart scored on this power play
Minor
1
Uvis Balinskis, Carter Verhaeghe · Power play (Doan, interference) · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
0–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:33
Sam Bennett· Slashing
Sam Bennett· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:55
Jeff Petry· Hooking
Jeff Petry· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
16:35
Donovan Sebrango· Fighting
Donovan Sebrango· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
16:35
Josh Dunne· Fighting
Josh Dunne· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
3rd period
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Sabres went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Panthers power play.