BUF
5–2
PHI
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 25-16-4
5–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 22-15-8
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
262613515
PHI
081816222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–1
BUF 25-16-4 · PHI 22-15-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–1
Sabres beat the Flyers
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.4 expected goals); the Sabres won 5–2. Dan Vladar allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 15 and 22 shots on goal.
BUF 2.6 xG · 15 shots
PHI 2.4 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
1.3 · 1.0
3rd
0.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 09:30 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Mattias Samuelsson · 1st 15:13 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Jack Quinn · 2nd 04:22 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Owen Tippett · 2nd 10:28 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 13:51 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Trevor Zegras · 3rd 07:37 · 4–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:20 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 53.
BUF 53%PHI 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 11 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 09:30 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Mattias Samuelsson · 1st 15:13 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Jack Quinn · 2nd 04:22 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Owen Tippett · 2nd 10:28 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 13:51 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Trevor Zegras · 3rd 07:37 · PP · 4–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 19:20 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:52
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen· Hooking
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:16
Cam York· Cross-checking
Cam York· Cross-checking
Dahlin scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:05
Trevor Zegras· Hooking
Trevor Zegras· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:44
Travis Konecny· Tripping
Travis Konecny· Tripping
Dahlin scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:14
Zach Benson· Cross-checking
Zach Benson· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Garnet Hathaway· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Garnet Hathaway· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:35
Travis Konecny· Slashing
Travis Konecny· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:18
Bowen Byram· Tripping
Bowen Byram· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:47
Zach Metsa· Hooking
Zach Metsa· Hooking
Zegras scored on this power play
Minor
6
Travis Konecny, Owen Tippett · Power play (Metsa, hooking) · deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
4–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:22
Nick Seeler· Roughing
Nick Seeler· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:45
Bowen Byram· Holding
Bowen Byram· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
6/8 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Sabres went 2-for-6 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Flyers power plays.