Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 26-16-5
4–5
Final / OTL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 27-13-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
16390900424
MIN
2721801011536
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 26-16-5 · MIN 27-13-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Wild
The Sabres were outchanced (4.9 to 3.0 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Zuccarello's goal. Filip Gustavsson allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 3.0, on 36 and 24 shots on goal.
BUF 3.0 xG · 24 shots
MIN 4.9 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.1 · 2.2
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
OT
0.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marcus Foligno · 1st 09:19 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Ryan McLeod · 1st 10:05 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ryan Hartman · 1st 19:52 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 01:08 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 10:07 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jack Quinn · 2nd 11:34 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Alex Tuch · 2nd 16:07 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Quinn Hughes · 2nd 17:04 · 4–4 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
9
Mats Zuccarello · OT 01:46 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 25.
BUF 25%MIN 75%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 12 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marcus Foligno · 1st 09:19 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Ryan McLeod · 1st 10:05 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ryan Hartman · 1st 19:52 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 01:08 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 10:07 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jack Quinn · 2nd 11:34 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Alex Tuch · 2nd 16:07 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Quinn Hughes · 2nd 17:04 · 4–4
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
9
Mats Zuccarello · OT 01:46 · PP · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:10
Tage Thompson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:05
Michael Kesselring· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:05
Marcus Foligno· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
12:11
Marcus Foligno· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
12:11
Michael Kesselring· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:25
Quinn Hughes· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:26
Danila Yurov· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:47
Bowen Byram· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:08
Michael Kesselring· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:19
David Jiricek· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:01
Danila Yurov· Holding
Tuch scored on this power play
Minor
7
Tage Thompson, Ryan McLeod · Power play (Yurov, holding) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4–3
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:46
Peyton Krebs· Hooking
Zuccarello scored on this power play
Minor
Overtime
9
Kirill Kaprizov, Filip Gustavsson · Power play (Krebs, hooking) · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4–5
Goaltending
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 4.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Wild power plays.