Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 31-17-5
4–1
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 22-17-13
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
28114110432
LAK
01211907138
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 31-17-5 · LAK 22-17-13 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Kings
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.8 expected goals); the Sabres won 4–1. Alex Lyon stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 38 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 32 shots
LAK 2.8 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 1.3
3rd
0.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 07:14 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mattias Samuelsson · 1st 11:17 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 06:29 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 07:47 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · 3rd 19:00 · 4–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 43.
BUF 43%LAK 57%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 13 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 07:14 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mattias Samuelsson · 1st 11:17 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Alex Tuch · 2nd 06:29 · 3–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 07:47 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 4–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:23
Jeff Malott· Roughing
Tuch scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:23
Jeff Malott· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:23
Michael Kesselring· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:04
Peyton Krebs· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:04
Peyton Krebs· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:04
Quinton Byfield· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:36
Rasmus Dahlin· Slashing
Kempe scored on this power play
Minor
4
Kevin Fiala, Brandt Clarke · Power play (Dahlin, slashing) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:00
Samuel Helenius· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
16:52
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
19:44
Peyton Krebs· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
19:44
Jeff Malott· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
19:44
Michael Kesselring· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
19:44
Samuel Helenius· Misconduct
Misconduct
Goaltending
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Kings power play.