BUF
2–4
MTL
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 31-18-5
2–4
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 31-17-7
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
011212015238
MTL
11106314431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
BUF 31-18-5 · MTL 31-17-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Sabres fell to the Canadiens
The Sabres created the better chances (4.5 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Jakub Dobes stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 38 and 31 shots on goal.
BUF 4.5 xG · 38 shots
MTL 2.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.4
3rd
1.9 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Juraj Slafkovský · 1st 11:20 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Owen Power · 2nd 07:36 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Noah Ostlund · 2nd 18:58 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Cole Caufield · 3rd 04:14 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Cole Caufield · 3rd 10:13 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Oliver Kapanen · 3rd 19:12 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 73.
BUF 73%MTL 27%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 7 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Juraj Slafkovský · 1st 11:20 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Owen Power · 2nd 07:36 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Noah Ostlund · 2nd 18:58 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Cole Caufield · 3rd 04:14 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Cole Caufield · 3rd 10:13 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Oliver Kapanen · 3rd 19:12 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:00
Tage Thompson· Interference
Tage Thompson· Interference
Slafkovský scored on this power play
Minor
1
Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield · Power play (Thompson, interference) · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:06
Bowen Byram· Tripping
Bowen Byram· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:58
Lane Hutson· Tripping
Lane Hutson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:46
Ryan McLeod· Hooking
Ryan McLeod· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:21
Noah Dobson· High-sticking
Noah Dobson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:58
Lane Hutson· High-sticking
Lane Hutson· High-sticking
Ostlund scored on this power play
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:24
Kirby Dach· Holding
Kirby Dach· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Sabres went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Canadiens power plays.