Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 32-19-6
2–5
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 29-15-12
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
1809110227
PIT
21017215532
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
BUF 32-19-6 · PIT 29-15-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
Sabres fell to the Penguins
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.2 expected goals); the Sabres lost 2–5. Arturs Silovs stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.2, on 27 and 32 shots on goal.
BUF 3.2 xG · 27 shots
PIT 3.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
1.3 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 01:46 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Avery Hayes · 1st 09:18 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Avery Hayes · 1st 18:47 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Ben Kindel · 2nd 07:44 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 01:55 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Tommy Novak · 3rd 15:33 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
7
Ben Kindel · 3rd 19:46 · 2–5 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 49.
BUF 49%PIT 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 01:46 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Avery Hayes · 1st 09:18 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Avery Hayes · 1st 18:47 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Ben Kindel · 2nd 07:44 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 01:55 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Tommy Novak · 3rd 15:33 · 2–4
Backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
7
Ben Kindel · 3rd 19:46 · EN · 2–5
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:54
Evgeni Malkin· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:59
Ryan Shea· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:03
Sidney Crosby· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:54
Alex Tuch· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:14
Evgeni Malkin· Tripping
Thompson scored on this power play
Minor
5
Jack Quinn, Rasmus Dahlin · Power play (Malkin, tripping) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:13
Michael Kesselring· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:33
Peyton Krebs· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
10:33
Connor Clifton· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
10:33
Peyton Krebs· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:31
Anthony Mantha· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Sabres went 1-for-5 on the power play and killed all 2 Penguins power plays.