BUF
3–2
NSH
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 38-19-6
3–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 28-27-8
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
0221319324
NSH
0611217225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
BUF 38-19-6 · NSH 28-27-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
Sabres beat the Predators
The Sabres earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.1, and a 3–2 win to show for it. The Sabres owned the 2nd period, 2.3 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.1, on 24 and 25 shots on goal.
BUF 3.3 xG · 24 shots
NSH 2.1 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
2.3 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zachary L'Heureux · 2nd 01:17 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 2nd 12:39 · 1–1 · slap shot, a great chance (36%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 14:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (59%)
4
Josh Doan · 3rd 00:16 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Matthew Wood · 3rd 16:08 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 70.
BUF 70%NSH 30%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 7 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zachary L'Heureux · 2nd 01:17 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 2nd 12:39 · 1–1
Slap shot, a great chance (36%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 14:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (59%)
4
Josh Doan · 3rd 00:16 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Matthew Wood · 3rd 16:08 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:12
Tyson Jost· Roughing
Tyson Jost· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:12
Peyton Krebs· Roughing
Peyton Krebs· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:43
Steven Stamkos· Tripping
Steven Stamkos· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
1
Jonathan Marchessault, Ryan O'Reilly · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:13
Ryan McLeod· Hooking
Ryan McLeod· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:09
Mattias Samuelsson· Boarding
Mattias Samuelsson· Boarding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:27
Tyson Jost· Slashing
Tyson Jost· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:55
Jack Quinn· Interference
Jack Quinn· Interference
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 3 Predators power plays.