Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 40-19-6
6–3
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 30-26-6
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
2821226626
SJS
151817320
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 40-19-6 · SJS 30-26-6 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Sharks
The Sabres earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 1.9, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Yaroslav Askarov allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 26 and 20 shots on goal.
BUF 2.7 xG · 26 shots
SJS 1.9 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Quinn · 1st 04:12 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Alex Tuch · 1st 05:39 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Macklin Celebrini · 1st 12:54 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Beck Malenstyn · 2nd 04:59 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jason Zucker · 2nd 08:51 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Kiefer Sherwood · 2nd 19:29 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Jack Quinn · 3rd 00:42 · 5–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Alexander Wennberg · 3rd 06:56 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Jack Quinn · 3rd 17:14 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 65.
BUF 65%SJS 35%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Quinn · 1st 04:12 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Alex Tuch · 1st 05:39 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Macklin Celebrini · 1st 12:54 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Beck Malenstyn · 2nd 04:59 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jason Zucker · 2nd 08:51 · GWG · 4–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
6
Kiefer Sherwood · 2nd 19:29 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Jack Quinn · 3rd 00:42 · 5–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Alexander Wennberg · 3rd 06:56 · PP · 5–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Jack Quinn · 3rd 17:14 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
15:34
Zack Ostapchuk· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
15:34
Logan Stanley· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:56
Barclay Goodrow· Instigator
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
15:56
Beck Malenstyn· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
15:56
Barclay Goodrow· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
15:56
Barclay Goodrow· Instigator
Misconduct
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:55
Zach Benson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:55
Dmitry Orlov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:55
Tage Thompson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:50
Jason Zucker· Interference
Wennberg scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:35
Logan Stanley· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres allowed 1 on 2 Sharks power plays.