BUF 3–2 TOR Final / SO · W
Sabres/Schedule/Recap Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · 2025-26 regular season
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 41-20-6
3–2
Final / SOW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 28-27-12
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT BUF 110112010011333 TOR 191602010218 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 3–1
BUF 41-20-6 · TOR 28-27-12 · Meeting 4 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 3–1

Sabres beat the Maple Leafs

The Sabres earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 1.6, and they won it in a shootout. The Sabres owned the 2nd period, 1.8 to 0.4 in expected goals.

Who had the better chances

The Sabres created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 1.6, on 33 and 18 shots on goal.

BUF 4.6 xG · 33 shots TOR 1.6 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st 1.3 · 0.7
2nd · the swing 1.8 · 0.4
3rd 1.1 · 0.1
OT 0.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 89.
BUF 89%TOR 11%

Goals and penalties

4 goals · 14 penalties
← Sabres shoot this way Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
02:01 Owen Power
Zach Benson, Sam Carrick · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
02:34 · Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
2
06:09 Dakota Joshua
Nick Robertson · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1–1
PEN
08:12 Luke Schenn· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
08:12 Dakota Joshua· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
10:52 Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Cross-checking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
15:22 Noah Ostlund· Interference goalkeeper
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
15:22 Luke Schenn· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
15:22 Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
15:22 Luke Schenn· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
15:22 Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
2nd period
3
00:53 Max Domi
William Nylander, Matthew Knies · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1–2
PEN
06:42 Rasmus Dahlin· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
09:51 · Slashing
Quinn scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
4
11:21 Jack Quinn PP
Noah Ostlund, Ryan McLeod · Power play (slashing) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
PEN
06:31 Matthew Knies· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
19:11 Bowen Byram· Holding the stick
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
19:11 John Tavares· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
Shootout
1 Tage Thompson Miss
2 William Nylander Save
3 Jack Quinn Goal
4 Easton Cowan Miss
5 Alex Tuch Goal
Goaltending
−0.2
vs expected
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
+0.9
vs expected
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Team BUFTOR
Shots on goal
33
18
Expected goals
4.6
1.6
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
47%
53%
Power play
1/4
0/1
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Sabres went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 1 Maple Leafs power play.