BUF
3–4
BOS
Final / OT · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 44-20-8
3–4
Final / OTL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 40-24-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
170122600325
BOS
1111131611431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–3
BUF 44-20-8 · BOS 40-24-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–3
Sabres fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.9 expected goals); the Sabres lost it in overtime on Zacha's goal. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 25 and 31 shots on goal.
BUF 3.0 xG · 25 shots
BOS 2.9 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
1.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 11:07 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jason Zucker · 1st 15:18 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 09:45 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Zach Benson · 3rd 05:21 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Jason Zucker · 3rd 05:54 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 14:00 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (46%)
7
Pavel Zacha · OT 00:38 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 52.
BUF 52%BOS 48%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 9 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 11:07 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jason Zucker · 1st 15:18 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 09:45 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Zach Benson · 3rd 05:21 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Jason Zucker · 3rd 05:54 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 14:00 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (46%)
7
Pavel Zacha · OT 00:38 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:21
Rasmus Dahlin· Cross-checking
Rasmus Dahlin· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:46
Elias Lindholm· Tripping
Elias Lindholm· Tripping
Zucker scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:18
Joonas Korpisalo· Roughing
Joonas Korpisalo· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:18
Beck Malenstyn· Slashing
Beck Malenstyn· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:58
Josh Norris· Interference
Josh Norris· Interference
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:58
Charlie McAvoy· Holding
Charlie McAvoy· Holding
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:51
Fraser Minten· Tripping
Fraser Minten· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:19
Logan Stanley· Tripping
Logan Stanley· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:21
Mason Lohrei· Cross-checking
Mason Lohrei· Cross-checking
Zucker scored on this power play
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Bruins power plays.