BUF
2–5
DET
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 44-21-8
2–5
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 39-25-8
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01111217230
DET
3100327520
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–1
BUF 44-21-8 · DET 39-25-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–1
Sabres fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.7 expected goals); the Sabres lost 2–5. The Sabres owned the 2nd period, 1.6 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 30 and 20 shots on goal.
BUF 2.8 xG · 30 shots
DET 2.7 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.6
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.3
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 04:02 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 1st 09:11 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Marco Kasper · 1st 16:06 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 05:35 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jacob Bernard-Docker · 3rd 15:46 · 1–4 · snap shot, a great chance (39%)
6
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 16:25 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Patrick Kane · 3rd 18:17 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 51.
BUF 51%DET 49%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 04:02 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 1st 09:11 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Marco Kasper · 1st 16:06 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 05:35 · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jacob Bernard-Docker · 3rd 15:46 · 1–4
Snap shot, a great chance (39%)
6
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 16:25 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Patrick Kane · 3rd 18:17 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:57
Josh Norris· High-sticking
Josh Norris· High-sticking
DeBrincat scored on this power play
Minor
1
Moritz Seider, Dylan Larkin · Power play (Norris, high-sticking) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:25
Logan Stanley· Interference
Logan Stanley· Interference
Raymond scored on this power play
Minor
3
Emmitt Finnie, James van Riemsdyk · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
0–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:51
Jacob Bernard-Docker· Tripping
Jacob Bernard-Docker· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:09
Lucas Raymond· Roughing
Lucas Raymond· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:09
Rasmus Dahlin· Roughing
Rasmus Dahlin· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:31
Logan Stanley· Slashing
Logan Stanley· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:30
Mason Appleton· Holding
Mason Appleton· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:53
Rasmus Dahlin· High-sticking
Rasmus Dahlin· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:48
Justin Faulk· Tripping
Justin Faulk· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
09:44
Tage Thompson· High-sticking
Tage Thompson· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Sabres went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 5 Red Wings power plays.