BUF
4–3
NYI
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 46-21-8
4–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 42-29-5
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
11207314433
NYI
0619213328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 3–0
BUF 46-21-8 · NYI 42-29-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 3–0
Sabres beat the Islanders
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.1 expected goals); the Sabres won 4–3. The Sabres scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.1, on 33 and 28 shots on goal.
BUF 2.8 xG · 33 shots
NYI 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Quinn · 1st 14:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Calum Ritchie · 2nd 17:57 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Tage Thompson · 3rd 02:40 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 13:39 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 16:59 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Bowen Byram · 3rd 18:17 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 19:59 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (58%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 46.
BUF 46%NYI 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 12 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Quinn · 1st 14:19 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Calum Ritchie · 2nd 17:57 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Tage Thompson · 3rd 02:40 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 13:39 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 16:59 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Bowen Byram · 3rd 18:17 · EN · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 19:59 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (58%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:41
Carson Soucy· High-sticking
Carson Soucy· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:31
Josh Norris· Interference
Josh Norris· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:58
Adam Pelech· High-sticking
Adam Pelech· High-sticking
Quinn scored on this power play
Minor
1
Josh Norris · Power play (Pelech, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:18
Casey Cizikas· High-sticking
Casey Cizikas· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
06:34
Owen Power· Ps slash on breakaway
Owen Power· Ps slash on breakaway
Penalty shot
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:41
Mattias Samuelsson· Delaying game puck over glass
Mattias Samuelsson· Delaying game puck over glass
Ritchie scored on this power play
Minor
2
Brayden Schenn, Bo Horvat · Power play (Samuelsson, delaying game puck over glass) · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1–1
3rd period
PEN
5 min
Major
00:01
Anders Lee· Fighting
Anders Lee· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
00:01
Sam Carrick· Fighting
Sam Carrick· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:28
Carson Soucy· Hooking
Carson Soucy· Hooking
Thompson scored on this power play
Minor
3
Josh Norris, Jack Quinn · Power play (Soucy, hooking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:45
Josh Norris· Roughing
Josh Norris· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:45
Scott Mayfield· Roughing
Scott Mayfield· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:45
Josh Norris· Roughing
Josh Norris· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Sabres went 2-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Islanders power plays.