BUF
3–4
DAL
Final / SO · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 50-23-9
3–4
Final / SOL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 50-20-12
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF
1102705020324
DAL
15211012001428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 50-23-9 · DAL 50-20-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.1 expected goals); the Sabres lost it in a shootout. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.1, on 24 and 28 shots on goal.
BUF 2.0 xG · 24 shots
DAL 2.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.2
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.2
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mavrik Bourque · 1st 02:19 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Josh Norris · 1st 12:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Zach Benson · 2nd 03:32 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Esa Lindell · 2nd 04:24 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 11:09 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Justin Hryckowian · 2nd 16:00 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 47.
BUF 47%DAL 53%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 6 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mavrik Bourque · 1st 02:19 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Josh Norris · 1st 12:48 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Zach Benson · 2nd 03:32 · SH · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Esa Lindell · 2nd 04:24 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 11:09 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Justin Hryckowian · 2nd 16:00 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:08
Radek Faksa· High-sticking
Radek Faksa· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:33
Ilya Lyubushkin· Holding
Ilya Lyubushkin· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:24
Jordan Greenway· Interference
Jordan Greenway· Interference
Lindell scored on this power play
Minor
4
Jamie Benn, Justin Hryckowian · Power play (Greenway, interference) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–2
6
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:32
Luke Schenn· Holding
Luke Schenn· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:36
Mavrik Bourque· Hooking
Mavrik Bourque· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:09
Conor Timmins· Delaying game puck over glass
Conor Timmins· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Josh Norris
Goal
Josh Norris
Goal2
Jason Robertson
Goal
Jason Robertson
Goal3
Jack Quinn
Goal
Jack Quinn
Goal4
Mikko Rantanen
Miss
Mikko Rantanen
Miss5
Alex Tuch
Miss
Alex Tuch
Miss6
Matt Duchene
Goal
Matt Duchene
Goal7
Josh Doan
Save
Josh Doan
Save8
Wyatt Johnston
Goal
Wyatt Johnston
Goal
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Stars power plays.