Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 1-0
4–3
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
014013411438
BOS
190427320
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Sabres lead the series 1–0
BUF 1-0 · BOS 0-1 · Game 1 — the Sabres lead the series 1–0
Sabres beat the Bruins
Down 0–2 in the 3rd period, the Sabres erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Thompson's equalizer — and won 4–3. The Sabres owned the 3rd period, 1.9 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 38 and 20 shots on goal.
BUF 3.4 xG · 38 shots
BOS 2.7 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.5
2nd
0.7 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Geekie · 1st 10:52 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 01:08 · 0–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
3
Tage Thompson · 3rd 12:02 · 1–2 · wrap around shot, a great chance (52%)
4
Tage Thompson · 3rd 15:44 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Mattias Samuelsson · 3rd 16:36 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:48 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
David Pastrnak · 3rd 19:52 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 61.
BUF 61%BOS 39%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Geekie · 1st 10:52 · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 01:08 · 0–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
3
Tage Thompson · 3rd 12:02 · 1–2
Wrap around shot, a great chance (52%)
4
Tage Thompson · 3rd 15:44 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Mattias Samuelsson · 3rd 16:36 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:48 · EN · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
David Pastrnak · 3rd 19:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:03
Rasmus Dahlin· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:45
Nikita Zadorov· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:50
Jason Zucker· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:27
Pavel Zacha· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:42
Andrew Peeke· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:41
David Pastrnak· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:12
Zach Benson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:12
Conor Timmins· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:12
Mark Kastelic· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:12
Sean Kuraly· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:41
Tage Thompson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Sabres went 0-for-4 on the power play and killed all 3 Bruins power plays.