Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 1-1
2–4
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
0708220235
BOS
0831118427
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
BUF 1-1 · BOS 1-1 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.4 expected goals); the Sabres lost 2–4. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 35 and 27 shots on goal.
BUF 3.1 xG · 35 shots
BOS 3.4 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 1.7
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
2.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 04:54 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Morgan Geekie · 2nd 16:29 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Zacha · 2nd 18:10 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Viktor Arvidsson · 3rd 00:16 · 0–4 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Bowen Byram · 3rd 13:54 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 15:08 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 45.
BUF 45%BOS 55%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 28 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 04:54 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Morgan Geekie · 2nd 16:29 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Zacha · 2nd 18:10 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Viktor Arvidsson · 3rd 00:16 · 0–4
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Bowen Byram · 3rd 13:54 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 15:08 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:10
Elias Lindholm· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:10
Rasmus Dahlin· Holding
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:10
Nikita Zadorov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:10
Nikita Zadorov· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:10
Beck Malenstyn· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:43
Josh Doan· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:40
Conor Timmins· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:29
David Pastrnak· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:38
Bowen Byram· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:59
Tanner Jeannot· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:55
Tage Thompson· Interference
Zacha scored on this power play
Minor
3
David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy · Power play (Thompson, interference) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
0–3
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:26
Charlie McAvoy· Tripping
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:26
Charlie McAvoy· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:26
Beck Malenstyn· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
02:26
Logan Stanley· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
02:26
Mark Kastelic· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:14
Nikita Zadorov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:14
Andrew Peeke· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:14
Alex Tuch· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:14
Tage Thompson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:14
Morgan Geekie· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:14
Zach Benson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
06:14
Andrew Peeke· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
06:14
Zach Benson· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
06:14
Nikita Zadorov· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
06:14
Tage Thompson· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:17
Peyton Krebs· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:20
James Hagens· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
7/7 saves · 0 GA · 0.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Sabres went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Bruins power plays.