Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 3-2
1–2
Final / OTL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
15080904126
BOS
09170914229
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Sabres lead the series 3–2
BUF 3-2 · BOS 2-3 · Game 5 — the Sabres lead the series 3–2
Sabres fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.4 expected goals); the Sabres lost it in overtime on Pastrnak's goal. Jeremy Swayman stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 26 and 29 shots on goal.
BUF 2.3 xG · 26 shots
BOS 2.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.4
OT
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 03:35 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 09:24 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
David Pastrnak · OT 09:14 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 48.
BUF 48%BOS 52%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 03:35 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 09:24 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
David Pastrnak · OT 09:14 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:11
Mark Kastelic· Roughing
Dahlin scored on this power play
Minor
1
Jason Zucker, Tage Thompson · Power play (Kastelic, roughing) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:53
Noah Ostlund· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:25
Hampus Lindholm· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:35
Ryan McLeod· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:36
Marat Khusnutdinov· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:59
Alex Tuch· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Sabres went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 3 Bruins power plays.