BUF
4–2
MTL
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 5-2
4–2
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 4-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
262901416
MTL
1918011228
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Sabres lead the series 1–0
BUF 5-2 · MTL 4-4 · Game 1 — the Sabres lead the series 1–0
Sabres beat the Canadiens
The Sabres were outchanced (3.7 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Jakub Dobes allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 28 and 16 shots on goal.
BUF 1.9 xG · 16 shots
MTL 3.7 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Doan · 1st 04:31 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Ryan McLeod · 1st 13:26 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nick Suzuki · 1st 19:16 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 03:32 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Bowen Byram · 2nd 09:01 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Kirby Dach · 2nd 16:31 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 22.
BUF 22%MTL 78%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 5 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Doan · 1st 04:31 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Ryan McLeod · 1st 13:26 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nick Suzuki · 1st 19:16 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 03:32 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Bowen Byram · 2nd 09:01 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Kirby Dach · 2nd 16:31 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:30
Lane Hutson· Tripping
Lane Hutson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:35
Nick Suzuki· Tripping
Nick Suzuki· Tripping
McLeod scored on this power play
Minor
2
Zach Benson, Josh Doan · Power play (Suzuki, tripping) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:58
Rasmus Dahlin· Interference
Rasmus Dahlin· Interference
Suzuki scored on this power play
Minor
3
Juraj Slafkovský, Ivan Demidov · Power play (Dahlin, interference) · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:13
Kaiden Guhle· Cross-checking
Kaiden Guhle· Cross-checking
Byram scored on this power play
Minor
5
Ryan McLeod · Power play (Guhle, cross-checking) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:11
Beck Malenstyn· High-sticking
Beck Malenstyn· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
12/16 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 2-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Canadiens power plays.