Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 6-5
3–6
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 7-5
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
3907020336
MTL
21131213626
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Sabres trail the series 2–3
BUF 6-5 · MTL 7-5 · Game 5 — the Sabres trail the series 2–3
Sabres fell to the Canadiens
The Sabres were outchanced (3.4 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 3–6. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 26 and 36 shots on goal.
BUF 2.6 xG · 36 shots
MTL 3.4 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.9
3rd
1.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 02:00 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Cole Caufield · 1st 06:31 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (40%)
3
Josh Doan · 1st 07:45 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Alexandre Texier · 1st 07:54 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Konsta Helenius · 1st 10:15 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Josh Anderson · 2nd 08:01 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
7
Jake Evans · 2nd 16:15 · 3–4 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (62%)
8
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 17:33 · 3–5 · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
9
Ivan Demidov · 3rd 03:32 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 38.
BUF 38%MTL 62%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 02:00 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Cole Caufield · 1st 06:31 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (40%)
3
Josh Doan · 1st 07:45 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Alexandre Texier · 1st 07:54 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Konsta Helenius · 1st 10:15 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Josh Anderson · 2nd 08:01 · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
7
Jake Evans · 2nd 16:15 · GWG · 3–4
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (62%)
8
Nick Suzuki · 2nd 17:33 · PP · 3–5
Snap shot, a great chance (34%)
9
Ivan Demidov · 3rd 03:32 · PP · 3–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:51
Juraj Slafkovský· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:23
Tage Thompson· Cross-checking
Suzuki scored on this power play
Minor
8
Juraj Slafkovský, Lane Hutson · Power play (Thompson, cross-checking) · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
3–5
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:09
Rasmus Dahlin· Cross-checking
Demidov scored on this power play
Minor
9
Juraj Slafkovský, Nick Suzuki · Power play (Dahlin, cross-checking) · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
3–6
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:32
Josh Anderson· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:32
Bowen Byram· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:32
Lane Hutson· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
17:50
Zach Benson· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
17:50
Alex Newhook· Misconduct
Misconduct
Goaltending
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
2/3 saves · 1 GA · 0.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Sabres went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 2 on 2 Canadiens power plays.